Everything we watch in Pennsylvania


– Pennsylvania Democrat Josh Shapiro will make his long-awaited gubernatorial candidacy tomorrow, the latest development in perhaps the most important state of 2022.

– Despite the intra-party drama over President Joe Biden’s agenda in Congress, Democrats on both sides of the debate agree that missing the chance to pass the social spending package will doom their chances halfway through.

– Trump-approved Herschel Walker grossed $ 3.7 million in Q3 2021, a year before one of the best battlefield races of 2022.

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Days before the New Jersey and Virginia gubernatorial elections, the OH-11 and OH-15 special elections, and the FL-20 special primary: 21

Days until the 2022 midterm elections: 392

Days until the 2024 election: 1120

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KEYSTONE STATE STATE – Let’s start the morning in Pennsylvania Battlefield State, the seat of the Senate and Governor races that we will be watching closely in 2022. The race for the governor enters a new phase this week, the Republican Senate primary is in chaos and a new electoral law faces a legal threat.

Shapiro intervenes: Democratic state attorney general Josh Shapiro is expected to launch a campaign for governor on Wednesday, Marc Levy, Mark Scolforo and Michael Rubinkam of the Associated Press reported. Shapiro cleared the Democratic primary field to succeed the Democratic limited-term governor Tom Wolf, who has already endorsed him. The Republican primary field is much more chaotic, attracting a number of potential and declared candidates.

Parnell’s problems: Republican Senate candidate Sean Parnell faces questions about past abuse protection orders sought by his wife, Laurie Parnell. Now the orders are at the center of a legal dispute between Parnell and his wife. Citing the privacy of her children, Parnell requested a gag order to prevent Laurie Parnell from speaking publicly about their conflict. Laurie Parnell hit back, Jonathan Tamari of the Philadelphia Inquirer wrote, saying her husband was more interested in protecting his political ambitions than her children. The Trump-backed Republican raised $ 1.1 million in the third quarter of the year.

Sands airs: Speaking of the Senate, Republican Carla Sands invested $ 3 million in her campaign and launched a $ 1 million ad campaign, the inspector recently reported. Sands, the former U.S. ambassador to Denmark in the administration of former President Donald Trump, has also split from her original campaign advisory team. Trump’s endorsement of Parnell – ahead of the latest round of negative headlines – has complicated its path.

Legal challenge: Pennsylvania’s new law expanding postal voting faces a significant legal threat, and Democrats are sweating, the inspector wrote. The law initially had bipartisan support, but now Republicans are suing, claiming it violates the state’s constitution. Democrats had hoped two lawsuits would be dismissed, but a judge instead combined them and allowed them to proceed. If the law loses in court, Wolf would have to appeal the decision to the Left State Supreme Court. But even a temporary loss could damage the law, Democrats say.

MID-TERM MESSAGING – Democrats in Congress disagree on the content of Biden’s social spending plan. But pretty much all members agree that if they don’t succeed, their chances of retaining the majority will disappear, POLITICO’s Sarah Ferris and Marianne LeVine reported.

“With Biden’s approval rating dropping, many Democrats across the map privately concede that achieving the president’s two top priorities will be crucial as they look at an almost impossible map in the House and no Senate seats to lose, ”Sarah and Marianne wrote. Meanwhile, Republicans are running attack ads in battlefield states calling the agenda a “socialist” spending plan.

THE CASH DASH – A few more third quarter fundraising numbers arrived over the holiday weekend. These reports cover July 1-Sept. 30, and are due at the FEC by Friday.

GA-Sen: Walker raised $ 3.7 million for his bid against Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock, Greg Bluestein of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution reported.

MO-Sen: Missouri State Attorney General Eric Schmitt, a Republican, raised $ 646,000 and had $ 1.1 million in cash, Inside the elections Jacob Rubashkin reported.

California House: Democrat Quaye Quartey raised $ 252,000 for his campaign against Rep. Mike garcia (R-California).

New York House: representing Élise Stefanik raised $ 1.5 million “through its various committees and the fundraising platform WinRed”, the Jon Levine of the New York Post reported.

Texas House: Republican Chris Putnam raised $ 430,000 for his main offer against Rep. Kay granger (R-Texas), including $ 250,000 from the candidate, Patrick Svitek from Texas Tribune reported.

LINES OF THE MAP – None of the three West Virginia House members are ready to retire. But the state is losing a seat in Congress in the redistribution, creating a very uncomfortable situation as lawmakers in Charleston scramble to draw the line between the two new districts in a special legislative session that began on Monday, Ally Mutnick from POLITICO wrote. Republican representatives. Carole miller, David McKinley and Alex mooney all are planning to be re-elected, and state lawmakers charged with drawing the lines are feeling the pressure. A map that pits McKinley and Mooney against each other in the same district advanced to the State Senate on Monday.

– Virginia’s independent redistribution commission could turn its attention to the state’s congressional district lines, after missing a deadline to redraw legislative districts. The commissioners argued at a meeting on Monday, Ben Finley of The Associated Press written, but cannot take any official action until the committee meets in person on Thursday. Missing its deadline, the commission handed over the task of drawing new legislative maps to the conservative-leaning state Supreme Court.

– Michigan Independent Redistribution Commission Approves 10 Draft Cards present to the public at hearings, Clara Hendrickson and Todd Spangler of the Detroit Free Press reported. If adopted, the maps would result in the loss of predominantly black neighborhoods and be susceptible to public pushback. The congressional card projects also place multiple cardholders in the same districts.

FIRST IN SCORE: ON AIR – Former Virginia Governor Terry McAuliffe and Everytown for Gun Safety Action Fund have released a new TV commercial featuring Newport News Sheriff Gabe Morgan. In the 30 second spotMorgan makes a direct call to the camera that McAuliffe supports law enforcement and knows how to keep the state safe. “He increased our funding, expanded training and always supported us. In fact, we named him Honorary Sheriff – the first governor in Virginia history, ”Morgan says. The ad will air from this week and is part of Everytown’s $ 1.8 million investment in the Virginia election.

JUST PEACHY – Georgia officials are investigating allegations that Fulton County election officials shredded 300 voter registration applications, Ben Brasch of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Fulton County Chief Electoral Officer Richard Barron confirmed he fired two employees on Friday for allegedly destroying candidates in the past two weeks. GOP Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger has asked the Justice Department to investigate the incident. Republicans lobbied for a takeover of the Fulton County election using the state’s new election law.

– Speaking of Georgia, former Mayor Kasim Reed is the top fundraiser in the Atlanta mayoral race, Wilborn P. Nobles III and JD Capelouto of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution reported. Reed said he raised $ 2.8 million, with $ 900,000 in cash in his September 30 campaign fundraising report. Meanwhile, City Council President Felicia Moore, who entered the race five months before Reed, raised $ 1.1 million during the campaign and has $ 460,000 in cash.

APPROVAL ALERT – Rep. Madison Cawthorn (RN.C.) endorsed New Hampshire Republican Karoline Leavitt in his attempt to overthrow the representative. Chris Pappas (DN.H.), John DiStaso of WMUR reported. Cawthorn is the youngest member of Congress and would likely pass the title to Leavitt if elected. Leavitt shows up in a busy GOP primary that includes Gail Huff Brown, the broadcaster and wife of former Sen. Scott Brown (R-Mass.) And 2020 nominee Matt Mowers.

ENCHANTED LAND – New Mexico Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham has raised more than $ 2.5 million for her reelection bid, she announced. Lujan Grisham has $ 2.1 million in cash. Lujan Grisham’s fundraising report will also include $ 87,500 in settlement payments over the past six months. Former staff member James Hallinan accused Lujan Grisham of sexual abuse at a meeting in 2018, which the governor denies. Payments over the past six months bring the settlement to $ 150,000, Dan Boyd from Albuquerque Journal wrote.

BUCKEYE STATE – Ohio Senate candidate Mike Gibbons faces return of Ohio Wesleyan University alumni after shooting a campaign ad on campus, Haley BeMiller from Columbus Dispatch wrote. The ad was criticized as “race bait” by some former students, and a spokesperson for the university said the ad did not reflect the school’s values. The ad claims Democrats want to replace God with government, targets former NFL quarterback Colin Kaepernick, and shows a sign of anti-critical racial theory.

THANKS BUT NO THANKS – Maine State Senate Speaker Troy Jackson will not be the first Democratic Governor Janet Mills, despite a “pressure campaign” led by the unions to attract him to the race. Jackson, a fellow Democrat, said he was disappointed with the Run Troy Run PAC and reiterated his support for Mills, Andrew Howard of Maine Monitor wrote.

CODA – TITLE OF THE DAY – “Here’s why the Bidens attended the wedding of a ‘real housewives’ star” – Forbes

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